GU-Q event explores US election strategy and voter trends

In the heated run-up to the US presidential election, Georgetown University in Qatar (GU-Q) is diving deep into American democracy through a series of events hosted by the Centre for International and Regional Studies (CIRS).Two talks featuring leading GU-Q faculty offered nuanced discussions on the forces shaping the electoral landscape—from party politics and voter behaviour to the strategies behind running a presidential campaign."What a difference a month makes,” began Dr Clyde Wilcox, professor of Government at GU-Q, capturing the volatile nature of the current election cycle. Alternating between humour and seriousness, Prof Wilcox and fellow panelists Dr Amanda Garrett, assistant professor of Political Science, and Dr Paul Musgrave, associate professor of Government, dissected the campaign strategies, emphasising the unusual characteristics of this election.One key factor influencing the outcome is the Democrats’ strategic ambiguity on certain issues. According to Prof Garrett, this might be a calculated effort to "cast its net as wide as possible.” However, she warned that this approach could backfire, drawing parallels to centrist losses in European elections.The election will also have far-reaching global implications. "Americans don’t vote on foreign policy, but foreign policy is determined by American elections,” stated Prof Musgrave. He emphasised that the Harris campaign’s approach to international relations, particularly in the Middle East, remains a pivotal aspect of this election. "The Harris campaign has been muted on Gaza,” Prof Musgrave noted, pointing out that American foreign policy is not as one-sidedly in favour of Israel as before. "It's an issue that really complicates matters a great deal for the Democratic coalition.”Looming over all these factors is how the election "poses a very special threat to American democracy.” According to Prof Wilcox, when Donald Trump lost the last election, his aides reported that, "He was calling state legislators and saying, ‘Why don't you just pretend I won and certify my electors?’” This raises critical questions about whether the election results will be accepted as legitimate this time around, possibly leaving the final decision to the courts.In a second talk, Prof Musgrave provided a behind-the-scenes look at the presidential campaigns, emphasising the critical role of every vote in battleground states where razor-thin margins could determine the outcome. He pointed out that Vice President Harris’s entry into the race has intensified the competition by broadening the electoral map, especially in these key states. "The map is still very narrow, but it is much larger than it had been,” he noted.As the election draws nearer, GU-Q’s CIRS will continue to host events offering valuable insights into the forces shaping this pivotal moment in US history. Through expert analysis and engaging discussions, these talks give the community a front-row seat to the unfolding drama of American democracy.