Japan’s government signs off $140bn stimulus to boost economy

Japan’s minority government signed off yesterday on a $140bn stimulus drive aimed at putting more money in consumers’ pockets after the ruling party’s worst election result in 15 years.
The October 27 contest saw voters — angry over corruption in the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) and inflation — deprive new Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba’s coalition of a majority in parliament’s lower house. The package worth 21.9tn yen ($141.8bn) includes handouts of around 30,000 yen for low-income households, fuel and energy subsidies, and assistance to small businesses, according to the government.
The overall business impact was expected to be 39tn yen.
“The goal is to achieve an economy in which wage growth steadily outpaces price growth and to ensure a transition to a growth-oriented economy driven by wage increases and investment,” a statement said.
To pay for the package, the second in as many years, the government will table a supplementary budget by the end of the year in the lower house.
But views about the move among people on the streets were mixed.
Voter Katsuhiro Hirakawa, 63, accused politicians of making “whatever decisions they want without listening to the voices of us ordinary citizens”.
Authorities should “think carefully about why they need more tax revenue, or how they can reduce wasteful spending, before making decisions on budgets”, he told AFP in Tokyo.
And Hisaki Sato, 46, wanted more help for the middle class, adding: “We’re now living in an age when not only low-income households but middle-income families are in need of more stimulus measures.” The middle class is “home to many people who are contributing directly to the economy, so I want the government to cherish them as well”.
To win enough lawmakers’ support, Ishiba agreed to include the lifting of an income tax threshold pushed by the opposition Democratic Party for the People (DPP).
The smaller party says this will ease labour shortages and boost consumer spending by encouraging part-time staff to work longer hours and earn more.
But critics worry that this will reduce tax revenues by trillions of yen and increase Japan’s huge debt pile, which equates to more than 200% of gross domestic product. With the Bank of Japan expected to keep hiking interest rates, this debt mountain will also cost more and more, SMBC Nikko Securities economist Yoshimasa Maruyama said. Tax cuts “must be accompanied by a permanent source of revenue to fill the gap”, Maruyama wrote in a research note.
Ishiba, 67, has promised to revitalise depressed rural regions and to address the “quiet emergency” of Japan’s shrinking population with measures to support families such as flexible working hours.
Going forward, businesses worry that the need to curry favour with opposition parties means Ishiba will avoid reforms needed to improve Japan’s competitiveness.
There are also concerns that the government may pressure the Bank of Japan to go slow on raising interest rates, even if this leads to a weaker yen.
Government data yesterday put headline inflation last month at a modest 2.3%, but it showed rice up nearly 60% year-on-year, revealing the pain for ordinary Japanese.
The price of the staple rocketed because of hot weather and water shortages and after a “megaquake” warning in August led to hoarding. Record inflows of hungry tourists were also blamed.
Separately, Ishiba has promised to spend 10tn yen through 2030 to boost Japan’s semiconductor and artificial intelligence sectors and help the nation regain its tech edge.